Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.654428 0.748868 0.851252 0.970379 1.105060 1.252490 1.425989
2025-02-09 0.502693 0.629071 0.777701 0.964922 1.193957 1.464497 1.807755
2025-02-16 0.392318 0.533339 0.712094 0.954169 1.272172 1.674266 2.219664
2025-02-23 0.313619 0.460529 0.660126 0.949007 1.353913 1.898329 2.682279
2025-03-02 0.254024 0.400896 0.613732 0.941265 1.428406 2.120964 3.173510
2025-03-09 0.213636 0.360453 0.586244 0.953797 1.530750 2.393344 3.769317
2025-03-16 0.177043 0.318319 0.548175 0.942656 1.593878 2.614093 4.315857
2025-03-23 0.154239 0.294066 0.533633 0.965102 1.710682 2.928973 5.044229
2025-03-30 0.130458 0.263316 0.502623 0.954108 1.769135 3.155359 5.655293
2025-04-06 0.114423 0.243575 0.487278 0.967224 1.869155 3.460464 6.431182
2025-04-13 0.096594 0.216804 0.454330 0.942336 1.896277 3.640645 7.008369
2025-04-20 0.088057 0.207284 0.452796 0.976606 2.036966 4.038161 8.017629
2025-04-27 0.081611 0.201337 0.458062 1.026355 2.216531 4.532469 9.271034
2025-05-04 0.072499 0.187663 0.445029 1.036484 2.318500 4.891202 10.308032
2025-05-11 0.063800 0.173208 0.427891 1.035134 2.396407 5.211419 11.305579
2025-05-18 0.056487 0.160638 0.412874 1.036057 2.478998 5.549939 12.377039
2025-05-25 0.049878 0.148479 0.396737 1.031783 2.549225 5.870021 13.444474
2025-06-01 0.045246 0.140636 0.389758 1.048126 2.668233 6.306859 14.806186
2025-06-08 0.039906 0.129656 0.372967 1.037647 2.722733 6.607686 15.902465
2025-06-15 0.036807 0.124532 0.370589 1.063320 2.867487 7.126349 17.537661
2025-06-22 0.032604 0.115126 0.355012 1.051978 2.918872 7.435216 18.725245
2025-06-29 0.029840 0.109643 0.349456 1.066808 3.038699 7.917761 20.366663
2025-07-06 0.026056 0.099927 0.329956 1.039796 3.045556 8.128507 21.381583